Kansas City Royals@Minnesota Twins
2:10 PM ET
Suggested bet
Take Minnesota Twins moneyline
Best available: -104 FanDuel
Model win chance57.2% (-134)
Market chance49.8%
Model edge+7.4%
Best price-104 FanDuel
AlgoBall builds its own pre-game MLB moneyline odds, compares them with Vegas books after removing vig, and highlights only the clearest model-vs-market edges.
Historical team-strength model backtest; no historical sportsbook odds feed. This resets by season automatically. Latest live site suggestions are listed below and move from pending to win/loss once MLB posts final scores.
| Date | Pick | Game | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | +6.5% | Pending |
| 2026-06-07 | Houston Astros | Athletics @ Houston Astros | +4.2% | Pending |
| 2026-06-07 | Minnesota Twins | Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins | +7.4% | Pending |
Historical table uses the fast team-strength model back to 2023 and grades the top daily model picks against final MLB results. It does not claim historical Vegas edge because v1 does not include a paid historical odds feed.
| Season | Picks | Wins | Losses | Win rate | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 546 | 319 | 227 | 58.4% | full regular season |
| 2024 | 550 | 346 | 204 | 62.9% | full regular season |
| 2025 | 548 | 352 | 196 | 64.2% | full regular season |
| 2026 | 220 | 127 | 93 | 57.7% | through 2026-06-06 |
| Matchup | Model % | Model line | Market % | Edge | Status | Best (away) | Best (home) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves 1:35 PM ET | 61.8% | -161 | 57.8% | 3.9% | No edge | +133 BetRivers | -143 BetOnline.ag |
| Chicago White Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies 1:35 PM ET | 49.3% | +103 | 60.4% | -11.1% | Suppressed (data) | +149 LowVig.ag | -162 FanDuel |
| Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees 1:35 PM ET | 64.1% | -179 | 60.1% | 4.1% | No edge | +145 LowVig.ag | -160 LowVig.ag |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays 1:37 PM ET | 53.5% | -115 | 55.9% | -2.4% | No edge | +122 LowVig.ag | -132 FanDuel |
| Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers 1:40 PM ET | 48.7% | +106 | 47.6% | 1.0% | No edge | -115 BetOnline.ag | +105 BetUS |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Miami Marlins 1:40 PM ET | 50.8% | -103 | 48.9% | 2.0% | No edge | -108 LowVig.ag | -101 Bovada |
| Athletics @ Houston Astros 2:10 PM ET | 54.0% | -118 | 49.9% | +4.2% | Edge | -105 BetOnline.ag | -104 FanDuel |
| Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins 2:10 PM ET | 57.2% | -134 | 49.8% | +7.4% | Edge | -105 BetOnline.ag | -104 FanDuel |
| Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals 2:15 PM ET | 56.0% | -127 | 55.2% | 0.8% | No edge | +120 LowVig.ag | -130 FanDuel |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers 2:35 PM ET | 53.4% | -114 | 55.5% | -2.2% | No edge | +121 LowVig.ag | -133 LowVig.ag |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies 3:10 PM ET | 35.5% | +182 | 38.1% | -2.7% | No edge | -168 FanDuel | +162 LowVig.ag |
| Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks 3:15 PM ET | 48.8% | +105 | 55.2% | -6.5% | Edge | +118 BetUS | -129 LowVig.ag |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers 4:10 PM ET | 67.0% | -203 | 65.0% | 2.0% | No edge | +184 FanDuel | -195 LowVig.ag |
| New York Mets @ San Diego Padres 4:10 PM ET | 52.0% | -108 | 50.5% | 1.5% | No edge | -104 FanDuel | -110 BetMGM |
| San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs 8:30 PM ET | 55.0% | -122 | 51.8% | 3.3% | No edge | +102 LowVig.ag | -112 LowVig.ag |